Prédiction de match: Monte - Astralis {{CS2 (CS:GO)
PGL CS2 Major Copenhagen 2024: European RMR BWelcome to EGamersWorld.
One of the most important tournaments of February, the PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: European RMR B qualifying championship, continues. Today the penultimate day of the event will be played, which will determine 3 more participants of PGL Major Copenhagen 2024 and 3 teams that will leave the race.
We will talk about the second basket, i.e. the teams with 1-2 statistics, where for half of them the next match will be the last. This will include someone from the Monte - Astralis pairing.
We are trying to figure out which of the teams will be stronger and will make it to the 2-2 stage, and who will have to say goodbye to the prospect of playing in the first Major tournament of the year.
Let's go.
Astralis Form
Let's open the match analysis with the analysis of Astralis form. In this match the team will play the first number one, with odds to win at around 1.4.
The Danish club had a difficult period. They tried their best to "return" to the TIR-1 scene, but they constantly fell short: Astralis finished top-20 at ESL Pro League Season 17 and top-14 at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: European RMR B.
At lesser tournaments, however, Astralis fared well. The world's most titled team finished Top 2 at Brazy Party, won CCT South Europe Series #4 and finished Top 4 at Pinnacle Cup V.
Returning to the S-Tier Championships, Astralis took Top 6 at IEM Masters Dallas 2023 and Top 8 at BLAST Premier: Fall Groups.
Prior to the BB Dacha, Astralis attended a number of other events. Those were ESL Pro League Season 18 and Roobet Cup 2023, where the once stellar Danes finished in the Top 16.
Just before the Long Convergence, BB Dacha Astralis finished in the Top 4 at CS Asia Championship 2023 and Top 8 at BLAST Premier: Fall Finals. The swing in performance is primarily due to roster manipulation.
- Astralis roster: blameF, dev1ce, Staehr, stavn, jabbi.
The latest additions to Astralis are stavn and jabbi. A couple came in with Heroic, who they bid farewell to on not-so-pleasant notes. That said, it's a reinforcement however you look at it.
The debut tournament for the roster was Dacha, where the Danes finished in the top 8. Then the new season began, which Astralis opened with a performance at PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: European Qualifier B. There they took TOP-3, which was enough to pass to RMR.
Before IEM Katowice 2024 they played at BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2024. According to the results of the championship Danes broke through to the TOP-6 and it was enough to get to the BLAST Premier: Spring Final. The IEM Katowice 2024 Astralis failed in the dust and dust: took the top 32, not passing the Play-In stage.
PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: European RMR B Astralis started with a solid win over Nexus Gaming, but then ran into more serious opponents: they lost to Spirit 11-13 and Heroic 7-13.
Astralis Mapple
Astralis has two 100% maps. They are Nuke with 9 wins in 14 matches, and Anubis with 5 matches and 4 wins.
They also play Ancient (66% wins in 3 matches). Still playing Mirage (9 matches, 4 wins). Vertigo with 2 wins and 3 losses and Overpass (2 wins in 7 matches).
Inferno are not playing.
Form Monte
We continue the match analysis with the analysis of Monte's form. In this match the Ukrainian club will play as an outsider, and the odds for their victory are around 2.8.
Before the Long Cologne IEM Cologne 2023 held a series of unsuccessful tournaments. They finished top-16 at another CCT, this time North Europe Series #5, and top-8 at the Elisa Invitational Spring 2023.
- Monte lineup: sdy, br0, Woro2k, DemQQ, kRaSnaL.
After a great run at BLAST.tv Major 2023, Monte left the headliner of that roster - BOROS - and was replaced by Astralis Talent member - Danish br0.
Monte rolled out the roster at Play-In IEM Cologne 2023, where they defeated Brazilian teams twice: first Imperial 16-9 and then FURIA 2-1 in the series. Monte beat GamerLegion in the group stage, but were unable to face more serious opponents like Heroic. IEM Cologne 2023 ended with a match against Cloud9. Monte tried, but Ledgeilie more titled club with a score of 0-2.
Before ESL Pro League Season 18 played a number of local championships. Among them were CCT Series tournaments, where Monte finished in the top 4, and top 2 at CCT North Europe Series #7, and there was also Pinnacle Cup V, where the Ukrainian club again finished in the top 4.
In the debut match at ESL Pro League Season 18 they met with the Germans from BIG. As expected, the match was equal, especially on the first two maps, but the decisive one was very lopsided: 16-5 in favour of BIG and Monte fell to the lower grid.
In the first round of the lower grid Monte played with the nominally weakest participants of Basket B - Australians from Rooster. It looked like they were going to close with a 2-0 score, but it turned out that there was no need to be happy before the time, and Monte Ledge were on the first card, but then cameback, thus turning the series in their favour.
In the previous match Monte played against MIBR. As in all other matches on ESL Pro League, the game was tense and hard, but in the end the Brazilians triumphed.
Next, Monte managed to get through the last chance net. First they outplayed Heroic with a score of 1-2, and then took revenge on MIBR.
After a real success in the group, Monte made it to the first round of play-offs. There they showed a very serious level of play, defeating Fnatic, Complexity and then Vitality. They were beaten by NaVi, winning the semi-finals 2-0.
Before playing at Roobet Cup 2023, Monte played at IEM Sydney 2023, where they showed a pretty good, but not perfect, game. Monte finished the Sydney tournament at the top-8 stage.
Monte played their debut match at Roobet Cup 2023 against OG. They won 2-0, running over their opponents on class.
Monte qualified for the Roobet Cup 2023 play-offs after a solid win over NiP. The match, by the way, was very intense, although it ended 2-0, the two maps were a struggle: 13-11 Overpass, 16-14 Mirage.
In the quarter-finals Monte faced Movistar Riders. The Ukrainian club defeated their Spanish counterparts 2-0. Then there was another victory over Aurora, but in a more difficult match (2-1 in favour of Monte). But the Roobet Cup 2023 grand final was not enough. Monte met Vp, gave a fight, but lost with a score of 1-2.
In parallel with the game at Roobet Cup 2023 Monte played at Thunderpick World Championship 2023, where at the time of writing this betting thread they were waiting for their semi-final opponent.
In the first High Group match at ESL Challenger Season 46, the team played against a tough French ѕtask Looking4Org. So tough that those won with a score of 2-1.
In the last match of the group stage Monte faced SINNERS Esports. Being the clear favourite to win, the Ukrainian club lost to the Czechs somehow toothlessly, thus sending themselves to the first round of the lower net. As a result, Monte withdrew from the tournament due to a busy schedule.
Next, the club had a very good Challenger in Atlanta, where they managed to reach the top 4, failed IEM Katowice 2024 with the final top 12 and won the RES Eastern European Masters: Spring 2024 with the subsequent entry to the Spring Showdown from BLAST.
At PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: European RMR B started with a loss to ECSTATIC, followed by a win against NEXUS and then Ledge or Apeks.
Mappool Monte
Monte's best map is Ancient. Monte has 7 wins in 9 matches. However, Mirage can also be called a signature choice for the Ukrainian club: it was played 13 times and won 10 of them.
Things are not bad on Anubis, where Monte has 8 wins and 4 losses.
The worst is Vertigo. There Monte have a statistic of 2-4.
History of head-to-head meetings between Astralis and Monte
For the teams it will be the first face-to-face meeting on the professional stage.
Predicted result of the match Monte - Astralis at PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: European RMR B
I'm afraid it's all over for the Ukrainian club at this stage. Monte are not playing as well as they can and it is logical: before RMR sdy got sick and it affects the teamwork of the whole team. Astralis are also not in prime form and are unlikely to be able to compete with more well-coordinated opponents, but the desire to get to the home Major will lead them forward at least in this match.
Bottom line: Astralis win.
Monte vs. Astralis
On Wednesday 21.02.2024 at 14:00 there will be a BO3 match in CS2 (CS:GO) between the teams Monte (Ukraine) and Astralis (Denmark). The event takes place in the format of the Europe RMR B stage of the Major Championship PGL Copenhagen 2024 tournament. According to the list of odds on Monte vs Astralis, Astralis is considered the favourite for the match and bookmakers give the team a 68% chance of winning. According to the analysis of individual indicators Astralis is slightly stronger. Astralis are slightly stronger in the tournament. The teams have no head-to-head meetings. By games against common opponents the teams are equal.
Prediction:
In this match the chances of the teams are equal, this is the opposite of the match that should have been in 2-1, but found themselves in the net for the departure, sdy tweeted that he will do everything to win, and here I think the fora will quietly take away, although the whole match is unlikely.
Bet:
Fora Monte (+1.5) - 20% of the bank (~coef. 1.58)
The analysis was made with the help of a special programme.
More predictions and details in my telegram channel, not all predictions I have time to give here:
https://t.me/foxkingcast
Bookmakers & Statistics
Astralis sont répertoriés comme favoris du match par la majorité des bookmakers et leurs cotes sont égales à 1.354. Monte , à leur tour, sont les outsiders du match. Les chances de victoire sont d'environ 3.206.
Statistiques de l'équipe lors des derniers matchs
Derniers matchs | Monte | Astralis |
5 matchs (victoires) | 3 | 1 |
10 matchs (victoires) | 6 | 4 |
Il faudra aussi évoquer l'historique des face-à-face entre les adversaires. Les participants à la bataille avant la réunion ont joué 0 matchs les uns avec les autres. Dans ces matchs, Monte a remporté 0 fois, Astralis active consiste en 0 victoires.