Prédiction de match: Alliance - Team Spirit {{Dota 2
WePlay AniMajor 2021Spirit and Alliance will be the second to cling to life. The fight is interesting and extremely important for both teams.
Perhaps, in this case, Alliance needs a blood from the nose: they just lack 2 points (the club has 800 out of 801 required) to get to The International 10 directly. Win this match and you are already earning 200 points and you are happy driving to TI 10.
Spirit needs to work in this regard: the team has 385 DPC points and theoretically winning the entire tournament guarantees them a direct hit to TI. Let's be realistic, Spirit's victories are very far away and the passage of Alliance will already be a worthy indicator.
We figure out what to expect from the battle between the CIS and Europe, and which of the teams will go on. At first glance, the outcome is clear, but there is always room for surprises.
Spirit form
Let's start, as usual, with the team that we already saw at WePlay AniMajor 2021. These are Team Spirit, which are surprising.
Before the start of the group stage, I underestimated the CIS-five and considered them almost the weakest team of 8 participants. As it turned out, Spirit can give odds not only to Beastcoast with Team Liquid (who successfully left the championship), but also to take the map away from Vici with PSG.LGD.
Team Spirit latest matches
- Draw against PSG.LGD 1-1
- Draw against Beastcoast 1-1
- Lost to Team Liquid 0-2
- Draw with TNC Predator 1-1
- Defeat Team Liquid 1-0
The win in the replay gave Spirit a big boost in morale: what are the players' post-match emotions worth. But the strength of Spirit is not only in morality.
Their strength is in the offlane: it is the hard lane that is often Spirit's key position. They love to play through Tidehunter, Mars. Supports include the standard set in the form of Dark Willow, Ancient Apparation, and rare guests like Grimstroke, Mirana.
WK flies most often on carry, Yatoro is also seen on PL - in general, a set of "standard" cows, without Magnus, Ursa and Doom.
Alliance Form
We have already had a look at Alliance, but it was rather faded: the match against PSG.LGD did not last long. Although it was pretty revealing.
PSG.LGD outplayed Alliance in macro, but the Chinese team had problems on the lanes. The first map with aggressive Slark and teamfight in the form of Wyvern + DP caused problems for PSG.LGD.
Alliance Recent Results
- Win over Secret 2-1
- Lost to Brame with a score of 1-2
- Beat Tundra 2-1
- Beat the Hellbear Smashers 2-0
- Defeat to PSG.LGD with a score of 2-0
Although the matches within the DPC are not as indicative as the same fight with PSG.LGD, it is worth noting. All the same, they give some understanding of what Alliance played.
And we played our favorite heroes that partially fall into the WePlay AniMajor 2021 meta: here you and DR (true mid, but with a 75% winrate in 8 games) and Mars (67% in 6 games) and Lina (100% Winrate in 4 games)...
Personal meeting history
Previously, the clubs played with each other. So far, Alliance has an advantage of 1 match in 5 matches (3-2 in favor of the Europeans).
Match outcome
In this fight, I want to see quality play and real combat. I am inclined to believe in Alliance, but I don’t see an easy walk for them, and therefore I put a +1.5 handicap on Spirit.
Outcome: Handicap +1.5 Spirit
Team Spirit vs. Alliance in the lower bracket of the Weplay Animajor 2021 playoffs. The loser is eliminated, the winner moves on. The Alliance has already guaranteed themselves a slot at The International 10, and therefore they do not need to worry too much about a place in this Major. While Team Spirit needs to be in the top 3 for an invite.
Team Spirit is played by: Yatoro, TORONTOTOKYO, Collapse, Miroslaw, Miposhka
Alliance is supported by: Nikobaby, LIMMP, s4, Handsken, fng
Team Spirit's results in the group stage, where they finished 6th:
- Drawn with PSG.LGD
- Tied with TNC Predator
- Tied with Evil Geniuses
- Tied with beastcoast
- Drawn with Vici Gaming
- Lose against Nigma
- Lost against Team Liquid
- Defeated Team Liquid replays (BO1 match format)
Team Spirit Drafts
- Carry: Drow Ranger, Wraith King, Ursa, top five: Lion, Ancient Apparation
- In hard on three: Tidehunter, Underlord, Magnus, on four: Shadow Demon, Dark Willow, Phoenix
- Mid: Puck, Mars, Invoker
- Team Spirit bans: Broodmother, Templar Assasin, Lycan, Magnus, Night Stalker, Ax, Dragon Knight
Banned against Team Spirit: Terrorblade, Death Prophet, Hoodwink, Wraith King, Mars
Alliance Team Drafts
- Carry: Slark, Faceless Void, top five: Wintern Wyvern, Ancient Apparation
- In hard on three: Centaur, Kunkka, on four: Lion, Shadow Demon
- Mid: Death Prophet, Tiny
- Alliance bans: Nyx Assasin, Broodmother, Phoenix, Templar Assasin, Clockwerk
Banned against Alliance: Timbersaw, Dragon Knight, Viper, Puck, Faceless Void, Templar Assasin
Match prediction: Alliance vs. Team Spirit in Weplay Animajor 2021 Playoff Lower Bracket
I do not like the game of the Alliance team, yesterday they lost without a chance against PSG.LGD, but there the Chinese are in really unrealistic shape. The team has all the same drafts as in the last Major, this Slark, Faceless Void, Centaur, for example Kunkka in hard, appear and they fly off. I'm really surprised how they even go through the first division of Europe, with such and such a game.
Regarding Team Spirit, before the match between Alliance and PSG.LGD, after the draw, they said that they could beat the Alliance. I don't believe in it, I expect three maps, but the victory will go to Alliance's favor, and Team Spirit will fly home preparing for the closed qualifier for The International 10.
Bookmakers give odds of 1.692 for Alliance and 2.27 for Team Spirit. Most likely, there will be 2: 1 for the Alliance, but the Europeans will definitely not lose.
Prediction: Alliance will beat Team Spirit in the lower bracket of the playoffs Weplay Animajor 2021 - odds 1.692
Team Spirit will be hard in this match and this is a fact, the fact is that they almost flew out of this tournament and played very insecurely all this time, against Alliance they will need to show their maximum in order to win, but unfortunately the Swedes simply will not allow this to be done. If we compare the region of Europe and the CIS in terms of Dota, then we can confidently say that Europe plays a cut above the CIS. Just look at what is happening in the CIS region, Navi are losing to outsiders, they do not qualify for the Major, there are constant changes in the line-up and there is no stability. It will also be in this game, Alliance will simply move today to Team Spirit at the expense of their preparations, they could not fight normally against the Chinese team because there was a clear advantage in the class, and here they have every chance of winning.
In this match, I recommend betting on The Alliance and not forgetting live bets.