
Nigma Galaxy 1.821.04.21 11:55Bo31:2
Team Liquid1.8
Prédiction de match : Nigma Galaxy - Team Liquid {{Dota 2
As part of the regular season, Nigma and Liquid will play in the top division of Europe. The match promises to be hot, and we are trying to correctly predict its outcome.
Nigma shape
I’ll point out right away: for me in this match, the favorite is not very obvious, but I will consider Nigma as such. There are several reasons for this.
The first, rather obvious, is the victory over Secret. Yes, not just a victory, but a complete defeat on all fronts.
This outcome of the first match is certainly surprising, since joining the iLTW team caused me great doubts. However, iLTW quickly showed that he was in Nigma for a reason, and his performance in the debut match against Secret was so good that it made people believe that he had been playing with Nigma for at least several seasons.
The second reason is rather sucked from the finger, but still seemed to me quite important. This is a change in the role of Miracle.
Amer returned to mid, where he began his development as one of the best players in the world. In the same match against Secret, he showed that he remembers perfectly how to stand on the center lane, and the huge Miracle pool (which w33 was sorely lacking) allows Nigma to play extremely varied.
Results of last 5 matches Nigma
- Lost to PSG.LGD with a score of 0-2
- Lose from AS Monaco Gambit with a score of 0-2
- Draw against Vici Gaming 1-1
- Lose at T1 0-2
- Win over Secret 2-0
Let the abundance of losses not mislead: they were completely different Nigmas. Now KuroKy and the company look fresh and confident.
Liquid form
But Liquid has a completely different impression. After an unsatisfactory performance at ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 by PGL, the team has already lost their debut match.
Lost, for a second, Alliance, about which everyone literally wiped their feet on the same major. I don't know what happened to Liquid, but unlike Nigma, they looked sluggish.
Results of last 5 matches Liquid
- Draw with Team Aster 1-1
- Lose from OB Esports x Neon with a score of 0-2
- Draw with Alliance 1-1
- Lose at Vici Gaming 0-2
- Lost to Alliance with a score of 1-2
Losing the match against Nigma will put Liquid in a dangerous position. Starting the season 0-2, with OG and Secret ahead of them, is a pretty dubious thing to do.
Personal meeting history
The teams managed to build up a solid pool of official meetings in the 2021 season. But in the last 5 matches, the advantage is on the side of Liquid, who won 3 out of 5 times.
Match outcome
As for me, in a face-to-face confrontation in this particular period of time, Nigma look more interesting. That is why I will bet in their favor, but the match between Nigma and Secret showed that the balance of power in Europe is now very shaken.
Outcome: victory for Nigma.
In the first division of DreamLeague Season 15 DPC (Europe), Team Liquid and Nigma will play against each other.
Nigma outplayed Team Secret in the first week with a score of 2: 0 on maps, and Team Liquid lost to Alliance 1: 2 on maps.
Nigma will play with the following lineup in the new season: iLTW, Miracle, Kuroky, Mind_ControL and GH. Team Liquid roster unchanged: miCKe, qojqva, Boxi, Taiga, iNSaNiA.
Frankly speaking, both teams don't like it at all, but the situation is such that in the first division there are also Hellbear Smashers, Tundra Esports, Brame and Alliance, which are many times weaker. You have to choose between two evils, and Team Liquid and Nigma don't like it, but objectively, Nigma played very cool with the arrival of iLTW.
On the other hand, Puppey himself gave two cards to Nigma, in the first he took against them: Venomancer in the forest, Bounty Hunter for three, but still Team Secret could win, they were leading 15 thousand in gold, but a couple of unsuccessful fights and that's it. On the second map, the Secrets gave Nigma IO + Gyrocopter and flew off in 27 minutes.
Team Nigma Drafts
- Carry: Juggernaut, Gyrocopter, top five: IO, Grimstroke
- Hard on three: Dark Seer, Razor, on four: Tusk, Elder Titan
- Mid: Puck, Sand King
- Banned Nigma: Viper, Puck, Beastmaster, Mars, Pugna, Queen of Pain
- Ban against Nigma: Beastmaster, Phantom Lancer, Timbersaw, Oracle, Leshrac
Team Liquid Drafts
- Carry: Juggernaut, Drow Ranger, top five: Oracle, Elder Titan, Grimstroke
- Hard on three: Void Spirit, Sand King, on four: Enchantress, Dark Willow
- Mid: Queen of Pain, Grimstroke, Viper
- Team Liquid bans: Puck, Tiny, Phantom Assasin, Faceless Void, Lifestealer, Razor
- Ban against Team Liquid: Broodmother, Oracle, Earth Spirit, Enchantress, Anti-Mage
Match prediction: Team Liquid vs Nigma in the first division of DreamLeague S15 DPC (Europe)
Team Liquid was pleased with the moment that they continue to swap lanes if they see a bad match-up for their hero. For example, on the first map with Alliance, they took Queen of Pain, and against her they got Mars, they sent Kwapa to the easy one, and Juggernaut came to the mid lane. This shows the flexibility of Liquids and their understanding of match-ups.
Regarding Nigma, they really played with new colors with iLTW, even losing to Team Secret significantly in gold, they were able to successfully fight and, accordingly, win. Interesting things from them: Sand King in the mid and Razor in a difficult three.
Bookmakers, based on the first matches, give odds of 1.532 for Nigma and 2.45 for Team Liquid. Of course, this is not entirely justified, I am sure that Team Secret themselves gave two cards to Nigma. Such an emphasis on this match, since only due to it on Nigma 1.5. Team Liquid is not inferior in skill to Nigma so clearly, and therefore 2.45 looks like an overestimated coefficient on them.
The game promises to be interesting, both teams are about the same level. I'm pretty sure there will be three maps, but Nigma will win.
Prediction: Nigma will win Team Liquid at DreamLeague Season 15 DPC (Europe) - coefficient 1.532; with a risk of 2: 1 - ratio 3.2
Team Nigma showed themselves gorgeous in the match against Secret and I think they must win the match against Team Liquid without any problems. They are ready for Team Liquid and this is a fact, they perfectly understand that you need to ban heroes who are sharpened for the early stage of the game and take heroes who can show themselves well in the late stage. With the arrival of ILTW, Nigma sparkled with new colors, now the team has confidence and stability, now we perfectly understand what the real problem was in the previous matches of this team. This match can and should still be played live, you can calmly assess the situation at the drafting stage and understand for yourself who you want to give preference to, I am sure that Nigma will win.
I'm betting on Nigma in this match.
Team Liquid: We can say that the luck of this team ended after the Major, because in the wild card they were lucky in replays against the gambit, in the group stage they were lucky that the alliances played poorly, though they were eliminated in the playoffs. Now, judging by the first game in the league, it seems as if the liquid remained in the old patch, and have not yet adapted to the meta.
Team Nigma: After a disastrous performance on the wild card, there were line-up changes that haven't been around for a long time. instead of vikha, they took our guy ILTV, and swapped them with miracles. Undoubtedly, Kuroki is a tough captain, but emotional burnout is characteristic of him too. However, the arrival of Igor, according to the players, inspires them, because Igor is a hardworking player in himself. And already the first results in the form of a victory over Team Secret show that the replacement might have been abrupt.
The outcome of the meeting
All bookmakers agreed that Team Nigma was the favorite. This can be seen from the fact that the coefficient in their favor is equal to 1.56. This figure in favor of Team Liquid is equal to 2.46. Accordingly, the latter are the underdogs in the upcoming fight. After the performance against the secrets, this arrangement seems to me, in principle, very comfortable and fair.
Team Nigma victory
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