We are considering a rather interesting match from the first round of the playoffs between Aster.Aries and Phoenix Gaming. We are trying to predict the outcome of the match between these promising teams.
Aster.Aries Form
In the old fashioned way, we begin the analysis with the form of the nominal favorite. I like that in the match Aster.Aries vs. Phoenix Gaming is the first to see each other.
In general, 2021 is not going to be bad for the youth team of Aster. However, it doesn't work to say that things are going well either.
Such a strange situation has developed due to the skipping of the first DPC season. It seems that the team was registered on time, but invites to both divisions passed by Aries.
Okay with them, invites. The young Chinese five ignored the qualifiers, which seems an even stranger decision.
The only explanation that comes to my mind for missing the first DPC of the season is the club's decision. Perhaps the Aster management was not delighted with the idea of representing the organization in two teams.
However, this does not prevent Aster.Aries from performing at other championships. On some of them the club played very decent matches.
Aster.Aries last 5 matches
- Lost to Team SMG with a score of 0-2
- Beat Omega Esport 2-1
- Defeat Vici Gaming 2-0
- Defeat Dragon 2-0
- Lost to Elephant.4AM with a 0-2 score
Although there are more defeats in this small sample, Aster.Aries should be noted in the match against Vici Gaming. To their great surprise, Aries left behind the FMWH Dota 2 Championship the team that took 3rd place at DPC 2021: S1 - China Upper Division.
Phoenix Gaming Form
On the other side of the barricades are Phoenix Gaming, which inspires confidence in the first season of 2021.
Unlike their counterparts, Phoenix did not fly past the first DPC season in China. As befits a self-respecting team, the team made their way to the tournament through the closing of the qualification.
Although Phoenix played in the second Chinese division, it is hard to call him weak. The team showed itself worthy and took 4th place in the group, where they competed with CDEC, RNG and Sparking Arrow Gaming.
Results of the last 5 meetings of Phoenix Gaming
- Lost to Yangon Galacticos 0-2
- Defeat Execration 2-1
- Defeat Dynasty 2-0
- Defeat Team SMG 2-0
- Defeat Army Geniuses 2-0
Although the number of victories in recent matches prevails, you need to look at the level of the teams with which Phoenix played. Yes, Vici and Elephant are not observed here.
Personal meeting history
The history of personal meetings can become much more interesting and indicative statistics. Phoenix and Aries have played 4 matches and the teams are on par.
However, the last 2 matches, which took place in February 2021, were held by Aries. Phoenix won in November and December 2020.
Match outcome
It's always difficult for me to decide in such matches. In this case, I tend to trust the statistics.
Although Phoenix have shown themselves confidently in recent tournaments, it seems to me that this time the victory will not go to them.
Outcome: victory for Aries.
#34
Yellow Submarine
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