Welcome back to EGamersWorld.
We continue our analysis of what's happening in the group stage of The Bali Major 2023. We talk about Group A and specifically the Liquid vs Tundra Esports match.
The encounter is clearly the centerpiece of the tour. The level of the teams contributes to this.
Western Europe is a top region with the strongest clubs in modern Dota. And here we have a derby between almost the best teams in the region.
Both teams are aiming for the top 4 and, as a consequence, for the top slot in the play-offs. What's more, Tundra and Liquid clearly aim for the top places in the tournament as a whole, and therefore their encounter should be a spectacle.
The winner here will virtually guarantee a place in the top net of the main stage. Let's try to work out whether there will be a winner in this game.
Let's go.
Tundra Esports uniforms.
We start the analysis of the match by analyzing the game form of Tundra Esports. They are in this series will play in the status of the favorite.
Bookmakers for some reason believe in the success of Tundra. The odds on the victory of this Western European club is at around 2.9.
One wonders why Tundra have such an advantage. Although 2.9 for bo2 is not a verdict for the opponent, still Tundra has the advantage, and they have a worse season than Liquid.
In the first round of DPC 2023, Tundra only finished in the top 4 after a tiebreaker and finished in the top 3 at the end of the season. This gave them an opportunity to play at The Lima Major 2023, which they failed, finishing in the top-12.
Things got better in the second DPC cycle. Tundra had another replay and again they handled it, only this time it was a match for the top 2 division. Things also went better on the international stage, at the ESL One Berlin Major 2023, where the reigning world champions, The International, finished in the top 6.
DPC Tundra returned to the top of the competitive dot in the third round. The reigning world champions of The International were ranked in the top 1 in their home league.
- Tundra Esports line-up: skiter, Nine, 33, Aui_2000 Sneyking.
Tundra attended DreamLeague Season 20, but they didn't have much zeal to win there. The team failed to qualify for the first group stage, ending up in the top 9-10.
Perhaps the odds will be different closer to the game, but for now it's not clear where the Tundra advantage came from. After all, the team plays with substitutes, and before that they perform slightly worse than Liquid in the group stage, having the second place in the group, Ledgea leading exactly to Liquid.
The most popular Tundra Esports characters
Among the most popular characters in the Tundra pikes is Techies. The hero was chosen 9 times and his win rate is 66%.
Next is Bloodseeker who was picked 8 times. The win rate is 50%. Other heroes picked Batrider (7 matches, 71% wins), Doom (7 matches, 57% win rate), Timbersaw (6 matches, 66% win rate).
Team Liquid form
Continuing the match review with an analysis of Team Liquid's playing form. In this match, the team will play in an unfamiliar role of underdog.
For some reason bookmakers do not particularly believe in Liquid's success, but they don't bury the Liquid either. The odds on Liquid's victory are around 3.6.
Where that figure comes from is a mystery. Yes, Liquid blatantly bogged down at the end of the regular season, somehow managed to finish DPC 2023: Tour 3 and were terrible at DreamLeague, but before that they showed themselves steadily well at the Major Aks, and at Bali they play at their peak.
At DPC 2023: WEU Division 1 Tour 1 Liquid did not lose a single match and then took the Top 2 at The Lima Major 2023 while playing with substitutes. More than worthy.
The second round of the DPC was as similar to the previous one as possible. Liquid again took the Top 1, but now with one defeat in the table. On the international stage, Liquid again shone, but were still overshadowed by Gaimin Gladiators, who took their second Major trophy of the season.
In the third season, Liquid were no longer able to clinch the premiership. "The Liquid fell to fourth place, but luckily this was enough to qualify for the Bali Major 2023, which makes no difference for Team Liquid that qualified for The International 2023.
- Liquid squad: miCKe, Nisha, zai, Boxi, Insania .
After the disappointing result in DreamLeague Season 20, where Team Liquid were eliminated from the first group stage, there was a feeling that the Bali Major 2023 will be held for the Liquid on their "liquid" notes. However, Liquid decided to switch on and play their best.
Prior to their game with Tundra, Team Liquid hold the first position in the group stage. The team is 4-2 on the series and 10-2 on the map.
Team Liquid's most popular heroes
Team Liquid has Crystal Maiden in the top picks with 7 games and 6 wins.
In addition to Crystal Maiden choose Doom (4 games, 100% wins), Sven (4 games, 75% wins), Skywrath Mage (4 games, 75% wins).
Rubick (4 matches, 25% wins), Void Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins) appear in spades, Underlord, Pangolier, Storm Spirit each have 3 matches and all have 2 wins.
History of head-to-head encounters
The teams have previously played each other a number of times on both the home and international stages. The overall score is 3-2 in favour of Liquid.
Match Outcome
In this encounter, I expect a roughly equal fight, but with the advantage in favor of Liquid. They with the full squad is able to get the win and secure the first position in their group.
Bottom line: Liquid win.