Welcome back to DreamLeague S19. The Dota 2 festival continues and we continue to analyse what's happening in the group stage with a betting round-up of the ex-HR - Entity match in Basket A.
We have watched a lot of games in the course of the season and directly at DreamLeague S19. After analysing them, we're ready to talk about the potential outcome of this match.
Let's see if there will be a winner in this tense battle between nominally equal teams, or if one of the participants will manage to earn important points to advance to the next round.
Form ex-HellRaisers - a dark horse with big ambitions
We begin the analysis of the game with an analysis of the ex-HellRaisers' playing conditions. In this match, the former Hellraisers will play as favourites.
The bookmakers confirm ex-HR's status, roughly speaking endowing them with it. The ex-HR win odds are around 2.1, but it should be noted that we are analysing this match the day before Long Songpeg, and therefore the values may change.
However, there shouldn't be any global deviations from the pre-match figures. There is nowhere to take them in such a short period of time.
Ex-HR's status as a serious opponent and favourites for the match is confirmed by the club's recent performance. They have taken the top 1 in Eastern Europe without losing a single match, making them a contender for the region's premiership.
Prior to that, ex-HR and Yuragi made a substitute appearance at The Lima Major 2023, where they managed to make it out of the group. Already an indicator.
Directly at DreamLeague S19, ex-HR started their way to the big prizes with two draws: against GG and Team Aster. They drew not with anyone, but with the top teams, the champions of the Lima Major.
The roster is working and it can not but please the fans of Solo, who seems to have found the formula of success and ready to break into the top of the world Dota again.
- Composition ex-HR: Ramzes, kiyotaka, MieRo, Antares, Solo.
The team assembled serious performers in the field. Solo is constantly improving his game, raise his rank in the mm-e. Paired with Ramzes look very harmonious, but still, the main headliners are kiyotaka on the centre line and Antares on the four.
The most popular ex-HR champions
The most chosen ex-HellRaisers were Enchantress (4 matches, 75% wins), Tusk (4 matches, 75% wins), Alchemist (3 matches, 100% wins), Crystal Maiden (3 matches, 100% wins), Legion Commander (3 matches, 100% wins).
The ex-HellRaisers are capable of winning, as they are on a serious rise. After winning DPC 2023: EEU Upper Division, the team won the Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes and had a good run at DreamLeague Season 19.
Team Solo are favourites for a reason, and if you agree with the statements above and believe in the Solo + Ramzes duo at major tournaments - your bet is ex-HR winning the match.
If you think ex-HR's success is a fluke and the team is nothing more than a fluke, check out Entity's breakdown of game conditions. A team on the decline can still surprise.
Entity's form is an opportunity to break the losing streak
Entity will be up against ex-HR. The team will play here as underdogs, which is easy to explain.
Firstly, the bookmakers are pointing this out. The odds of winning according to the various bookmakers are somewhere around 4.
Secondly, it's the team's recent performance. The start of the prolonged slump was back at the Lima Major 2023. After getting beaten by GG in the top-seeded play-offs, Entity looked so lost that they barely managed to keep their place in the top division of Western Europe by picking themselves up at the last minute.
Finally, the team made a very dull debut at DreamLeague S19. They barely managed to pick up a draw against Execration on the first day, after which they went down flat to Shopify Rebellion with a substitute in the centre position, which is generally unacceptable for a team aiming for a high position in the tournament.
It looks like it's time for Entity to change their roster, as the problems look structural.
- Entity: watson, Stormstormer, Tobi, Kataomi, Finshman
Not glued to everything, not glued to everyone. The hard lane is looking weak, where Tobi and Kataomi can't create any conditions for Entity to develop success.
Entity's pool is looking poor. Nothing seems to have changed here since the last patch, but the performance has started to drop precipitously.
Most popular Entity characters
The most chosen character for Entity is Tiny. The character was taken 8 times but has a 37% win rate.
The Invoker and Disruptor were each taken 7 times. The latter has a 71% win rate but the former has only a 28% win rate.
Entity can win if they remember what they were respected and feared for in the past. First and foremost are strong lines and an inventive approach to drafting.
Believe in the ascendancy of the second bottom team in Western Europe this season - your bet is Entity win at odds in the region of 4.
Predicted result of the Entity - ex-HR matchup
In this match I am confident of a win for ex-HR. Entity have been showing too unstable Dota 2 lately and it looks like they won't make it out of their group.
Bottom line: victory for ex-HR.
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